Analysts Expect New Govt Won’t Bring Significant Change, Could Fall Soon

By , 28 Aug 2018, 09:39 AM Politics
Analysts Expect New Govt Won’t Bring Significant Change, Could Fall Soon Mr Šarec Facebook page

Share this:

STA, 27 August 2018 - The team of ministers that is being put together these days is likely to continue the policies Slovenia has seen in the last four years, analysts Bogomir Kovač and Alem Maksuti have told the STA. But while Kovač expects the new cabinet to be more efficient, Maksuti thinks it will be short-lived. 

Economist Kovač believes the team of PM-designate Marjan Šarec will be more efficient on the operative level.

"The ministerial team features several party presidents, which makes the government politically stronger or politically more competent," said Kovač, noting that key ministries such as foreign policy and economy would be led by established politicians.

Incumbent Prime Minister Miro Cerar is to take over the Foreign Ministry, while Zdravko Počivalšek is to stay on as economy minister.

Maksuti of the Institute for Political Management is not surprised by the proposed ministerial line-up, noting that the "coalition parties" had "divided the loot".

He expects no major changes compared to the outgoing Cerar government. But since the loot is being divided among five parties, and the Left will play an important role in the future coalition decision-making, Maksuti expects an "extremely unstable political situation".

While Kovač approves of the decision to have Vojmir Urlep, the former CEO of pharma company Lek, coordinating the efforts of the ministries as the PM's right-hand man, Maksuti thinks he will not be able to meet the high expectations.

Urlep will not be able to influence things in the areas where interests will be too strong, he believes.

But Kovač thinks his managerial experience is a big advantage and that Šarec's decision to name him to a post higher than ministerial gives him certain political credit.

Maksuti believes the crucial challenge of the new government will be negotiations with public sector trade unions. This is where he expects the five coalition parties and the Left to clash.

"We could witness a paradoxical situation, when government parties would support trade unions' views much more than the prime minister and a minister from his party." Maksuti also expects the Left to side with trade unions and thus "bring this government down".

Maksuti also finds Samo Fakin's candidacy for health minister paradoxical. "As the former head of the public health insurer ZZZS he must have a clear insight into who pulls the strings. The ministry decides about virtually nothing, it is the insurer that is the boss ... But apparently the desire for a political job and influence prevailed in this case too."

Maksuti also expects tensions when arms procurement, precarious work forms or corruption in health will be on the agenda, because the Left will oppose the government. "And this will be the beginning of the end of this government," he believes.

Photo galleries and videos

This websie uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies.